Environmentalists prepare for new sea-level scheme

The North Carolina Coastal Resources Commission is back with new predictions about the Atlantic Ocean rising along the State coast. In 2010 the State General Assembly wisely rejected an embarrassingly ridiculous warning hatched up by the important-sounding CRC “advisory science panel.” According to it, in 90 years our coast would be inundated with a 39-inch “sea-level rise.” Get ready for it.

Aside from the fact that no human can accurately predict the magnitude of any unusual natural event happening on Earth more than a few days (or hours) prior, the pseudo-science panel called sea-level rise to the nearest inch—in the year 2100, no less. That’s an example of arrogance and pomposity, but science it is not.

All this smacks of a political ploy for environmentalists to gain more power in controlling coastal development. So far, it seems our State legislators and coastal officials aren’t buying it. But bigger Warmers may have mislead the CRC.

I suspect the CRC panel was duped into believing the scam perpetrated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)—many people, including some real scientists, have been bamboozled by this politically-motivated gang and their theory that manmade CO2 emissions cause world-wide climate changes, including rises in sea-level. The IPCC accounts for Global Mean Sea Level Rise (GMSLR) by thermal expansion of ocean waters; ice lost by glaciers and land ice sheets; and “change in liquid water storage on land”—all because we selfish, undeserving humans are trying to enjoy life.

The CRC panel goes along with the IPCC prediction that warmer waters and melting glaciers will accelerate sea-level rise in the long-term future because of the assumptions about higher CO2 emissions. But there are other explanations why sea-levels could rise (if they are): land subsidence along the coast and the influence of the Gulf Stream, for instance.

Based on my readings, climate observations and knowledge of geologic history it is preposterous that anyone would accept this warming theory without question. Climate on Earth is known to all rational adults as dynamic, cyclic and ever-changing. Here on the coast we observe sea-levels rise (and recede) twice in 24-hours. Figures cited by the press show miniscule “Tide gauge” readings of 2-4.5 mm (the thickness of 10-20 pages of computer paper) per year along the North Carolina coast. Considering all the variables in daily and seasonal ocean movement, it seems to me these numbers might not be as high as the gauge measurement error.

It’s important to note that there are credible scientists skeptical about the IPCC theory; and they have opposing theories that explain the nature of global warming. But their work on this has been suppressed by the American press and rejected by the IPCC because it dares question the religious zealotry of reducing emissions.

People representing the Intergovernmental Panel are careful to use weasel-words such as likely, very likely and statistical confidence levels: medium confidence. But they are virtually certain “that global mean sea level rise will continue for many centuries beyond 2100—of course, “dependent on future emissions.”

Meanwhile, back at the Carolina coast the CRC panel looks into their crystal-ball to see new future sea-levels. A recent Raleigh News & Observer article reported that a CRC draft will back off the 2100-year prediction and look only 30-years ahead. And, “If the rate of sea-level rise is unchanged,” increases will range from “about” 2.4 inches down toward South Carolina to “about” 5.4 inches up near Virginia. No word from those States about how high the water will rise on their coasts; or, how the Panel gets from a few millimeters to several inches; or, why levels differ up and down the coast.

The draft report from the CRC will be reviewed by two “sea-level scientists,” with predictable results. Who are these people? Many scientists have climbed on board the Warming Wagon because they profit in reputation and grants to help spread the alarm about assumed and irreversible climate change.

CRC Chairman, Frank Gorham from Figure Eight Island, noted that, “We have to do a better job this time of listening to both sides….” Yes, Mr. Gorham, you do.

If you people want to salvage your reputations you should scrap the scheme of predicting sea-level rise and research the opposing theories and explanations of warming (and cooling) based on Earth’s natural climate system. A good start would be to study Dr. Roy W. Spencer’s book: “The Great Global Warming Blunder-How Mother Nature Fooled the World’s Top Climate Scientists.”

Readers who want to see the N & O article and try to unscramble a recent IPCC report on sea-level rise may check the links below:

http://www.newsobserver.com/2014/12/31/4442409_30-year-sea-level-rise-will-vary.html?rh=1

http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/unfccc/cop19/3_gregory13sbsta.pdf

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About R. E. Smith Jr.

Mr. Smith writes essays and commentary on politics, American history, environment, higher education and culture. He's been published in print media and at blog sites for about 25 years. Smith's formal education includes B.S. and M.S. degrees from the State University of New York and Syracuse University. He has earned a 21-credit hour Certificate in Professional Writing from the University of North Carolina-Wilmington. Training/work experience: NYS Ranger School; U. S. Army, Corp of Engineers; soil scientist and forester with USDA; Assoc. Professor at SUNY; real estate agent; small business owner.
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